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A detailed climate change risk assessment for European agriculture and food security, in collaboration with international projects
Project
Project code: ZALF-779
Contract period: 05.06.2012
- 30.06.2015
Purpose of research: Basic research
The FACCE Knowledge hub focuses on modeling European agriculture with climate change for food security. The objective is to improve the robustness of impact assessments and to derive better model integration including information on uncertainty, scaling and data processing. ZALF contributes to all three project themes: crop, livestock and trade modeling. Crop-M investigates cropland models concerning soil-crop-atmosphere interactions to evaluate and compare model results for biogeochemical processes and environmental risk assessment. ZALF leads WP C1 creating a common protocol for model inter-comparisons, guidelines and minimum data requirement for model calibration and validation at different scales. Experimental data across Europe are gathered and classified regarding quality and consistency for calibration/validation. A methodological framework will be developed and applied for multi-criteria model evaluation. Results will be used to improve models, to assess model uncertainty and define requirements for scaling and regional case studies. Trade M identifies models and interfaces that allow for the integration of a detailed assessment of economic issues at different scales with model based representation of livestock and crop production technologies. Main topics are analysis of uncertainties and risks at every level, training of scientists to develop and use tools for an integrated impact assessment and development of a research agenda for international collaboration. ZALF contributes to the inventory of models, the facilitation of partial case studies supporting scenario development and provision of case studies on adapatation. ZALF leads WP T4 and coordinates training tasks. In the Live-M Module ZALF partner ATB provides models to reflect animal husbandry systems and their interaction with the environment. Modeling approaches of animal husbandry systems will be evaluated and integrated in regional scale modeling.
Section overview
Subjects
- Climate Change
Collaborative Project
MACSUR Modelling European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security
