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WASCAL (West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use). Work Package 6.1 Development of a spatially explicit framework for land use impact modeling based on trade-off- and multi criteria analysis

Project


Project code: keine Angabe
Contract period: 01.10.2012 - 30.04.2013
Purpose of research: Inventory & Assessment

The resilience of the SES depends on multiple drivers that all influence the supply of regulating, supporting and provisioning ecosystem services. Based on a set of indicators for the relevant bio-physical and socio-economic driving forces of the SES, the likely implications of different development scenarios in combination with future climate projections will be analyzed within an integrated modeling framework. Within the framework, the trade-offs and synergies of the interplaying indicators for relevant bio-physical and socio-economic driving forces of the SES will be analyzed. A special emphasis will be placed to identifying non-linear relationships, thresholds and tipping points as derived from empirical datasets and appropriate econometric modeling. This will be conducted in a framework that incorporates Multi-Criteria Analysis in order to facilitate the integrative character of the different indicators describing the state of resilience of the SES. The detected relationships will be used to conduct spatially explicit land use impact modeling in order to evaluate the likely consequences of different development scenarios on the resilience of the SES under different land use intensities across watersheds. Major aim is to spatially explicit indicate how different land management strategies may influence the resilience capacity at landscape level in order to cope with the challenges attended by human development and climate change.

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